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Moody's Financial Rating 2024
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U.S. Public Finance MOODY’S RATINGS CREDIT OPINION City of East Ridge, TN 17 May 2024 Update to credit analysis Sen r Feedback Summary East Ridge, TN (Aa3) benefits from a growing local economy, strong financial position and below-average long-term liabilities. These benefits are somewhat offset by the city's below- average resident income levels. Contacts On May 17th, 2024, Moody's assigned a Aa3 general obligation unlimited tax (GOULT) rating Anik Hoque #1,212.553.3263 to East Ridge, TN's proposed $8.0 million General Obligation Bonds, Series 2024. Credit strengths Orlie Prince +1.212,553.7738 » Growing local economy with favorable location in proximity to Chattanooga, TN Senior Vice President/Manager orlie prince@moodys com » Strong financial position CLIENT SERVICES » Below-average leverage Americas 1-212-553-1653 Credit challenges Asla Pacific 852-3551-3077 Japan 813 5408 4100 » Below-average resident income levels EMEA 44-20-7772-5454 » Above-average poverty rate Rating outlook Moody's Ratings does not assign outlooks to local governments with this amount of debt outstanding. Factors that could lead to an upgrade » Increase in the resident income ratio to 95% or higher » Increase in the available fund balance ratio to 50% or higher Factors that could lead to a downgrade » Decrease in the available fund balance ratio to 25% or lower » Increase in the long-term liabilities ratio to 250% or higher » Significant contraction of the local economy Moody's Ratings U.S. Public Finance Key indicators Exhibit 1 East Ridge (City of) TN 2020 2021 2022 2023 Aa Medians Economy Resident income ratio (%) 81.6% 79.7% 76.4% N/A 115.2% Full Value ($000) $1,414,311 $7,438,366 $1,766,446 $1,782,681 $2,753,876 Population 21,187 21,967 22,040 N/A 22,803 Fullvalue per capita ($) $66,754 $65,478 $80,147 N/A N/A Annual Growth in Real GDP -0.4% 6.4% 5.8% NA 4.9% Financial Performance Revenue ($000) $19,127 $20,795 $25,543 $34,963 $49,930 Available fund balance ($000) 6,461 $8,229 $10,752 $13,550 $27,007 Net unrestricted cash ($000) $7,154 $9,780 $16,033 $23,130 $36,277 Available fund balance ratio (%) 33.8% 39.6% 421% 38.8% 54.0% Liquidity ratio (%) 37.4% 47.0% 62.8% 66.2% 75.9% Leverage Debt ($000) $12,747 $12,663 $14,078 316,818 $35,831 Adjusted net pension liabilities (5000) $13,267 $18,271 $15,869 $10,971 $55,367 Adjusted net OPEB liabilities (000) $3,251 $3,698 $2,612 $2,223 $5,248 Other long-term liabilities ($000) $548 $576 $576 $725 $1,716 Long-term liabilities ratio (%) 155.9% 169.3% 129.7% 877% 244.9% Fixed costs Implied debt service (5000) $907 $913 $888 $983 $2,465 Pension tread water contribution ($000) $229 $267 $152 N/A $1,563 OPEB contributions ($000) $67 $78 $53 $36 $178 Implied cost of other long-term liabilities ($000) $47 $39 $40 $40 $116 Fixed-costs ratio (%) 65% 6.2% 4.4% 3.5% 10.7% For definitions of the metrics in the table above please refer to the US Cities and CountiesMethodology or see the Gtossary in the Appendix below. Metrics represented as N/A indicate the data were not available at the time of publication, The medians come from our most recently published US Cities and Counties Median Report. The real GDP annual growth metric cited above is for the Chattanooga, TN-GA Metropolitan Statistical Area Metropolitan Statistical Area, Sources: US Census Bureau, East Ridye (Cily uf) TN's financial statements and Moody's Ratings, US Burcau of Economic Analysis Profile The City of East Ridge is located in Hamilton County (Aaa stable) in southeastern Tennessee (Aaa stable), It is surrounded by the City of Chattanooga on its north, east, and west borders, and by the State of Georgia (Aaa stable) on its southern border. According to the 2022 American Community Survey, the city had a population of 22,040 residents. Detailed credit considerations East Ridge, TN's local economy will continue to grow at a moderate pace given its favorable location in the Chattanooga metropolitan statistical area and ongoing residential development. The city's $2.6 billion tax base has a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of a strong 15.6% over the last five years. Currently, there are several ongoing residential developments totaling approximately 215 townhouses and 145 single family homes that are either in construction or in the approval/permitting phase. The city's tax base is well-diversified with top 10 taxpayers accounting for 11.3% of fiscal 2023 assessed value. Furthermore, economic activity in the area is growing at an above-average pace with Chattanooga MSA's real GDP 5-year CAGR exceeding the national real GDP 5-year CAGR by 0.6%, Despite a growing local economy, the city’s resident wealth and income levels are below average with an adjusted median household income of 76.4% of the US MHI. The poverty rate is also an above-average 15.8%, The city's financial position is strong and will remain stable in the near term given conservative budgeting practices and well performing revenue streams. As of year-end fiscal 2023, the city had an available fund balance of $13.6 million or a strong 38.8% of revenue. Over the last five audited years, the city's reserves have seen a compound average annual growth of $1.8 million driven largely by the strong growth its local option sales tax (LOST) and property tax revenues streams; LOST and property tax have a 5 year CAGR of 11% and 8%, ‘This publication does not announce a credit rating action, For any credit ratings referenced in this publication, please see the issuer/deal pege on https://ratings moodys..om for the most updated credit rating action information and rating history 7 May 2024 of City to <i East Ridge, TN: Update Moody's Ratings U.S, Public Finance respectively, While revenues have shown strong growth, spending has been kept limited with a 5 year CAGR of only 2.4% in general fund expenditures. Looking ahead, management expects reserves to continue to grow in fiscal 2024 by about a $1.0 million as revenues outperformed the budget once again. East Ridge's leverage position will remain modest as there are currently no plans for material new issuances within the next 3-5 years As of fiscal 2023, the city had $16.8 million of debt outstanding, 55% of which was variable rate Tennessee Municipal Bond Fund loans. The city also has $10.9 million in adjusted net pension liability and $2.2 million in adjusted net OPEB liability. In total, the city's long- term liabilities were $30.7 million or a below average 87.7% of revenue. Post issuance of the Series 2024 bonds, long-term liabilities will increase to approximately $42.2 million or still a modest 121% of revenue. ESG considerations Environmental Environmental factors do not pose a credit risk in the near-term for the city. According to Moody's ESG Solutions, the city has high exposure to flood and heat risks. These exposures are mitigated by ongoing efforts address annual infrastructure improvements and support from FEMA in the event of material storm damage. Social Social issues are unlikely to pose a material credit risk over the near-term. Social considerations are material to the credit profile to the extent described above in the detailed credit consideration section relating to median household income and poverty rate. The unemployment rate for Hamilton County was 2.7% as of February 2024, below both the state (2.8%) and national rates (4.2%). Governance The city has a formal policy to maintain fund balance equal to at $5.0 million. Tennessee cities have an institutional framework score of Aaa, which is very strong. The sector has one or more major revenue sources that are not subject to any caps. Revenues are typically highly stable and predictable. Across the sector, fixed and mandated costs tend to be highly stable and predictable, with minor fluctuations under 5% annually 17 May 2024 City of East Ridge, TN: Update to credit analysis Moody's Ratings U.S, Public Finance Rating methodology and scorecard factors The US Cities and Counties Methodology includes a scorecard, which summarizes the rating factors generally most important to city and county credit profiles. Because the scorecard is a summary, and may not include every consideration in the credit analysis for a specific issuer, a scorecard-indicated outcome may or may not map closely to the actual rating assigned. Exhibit 2 East Ridge (City of) TN Measure Weight Score Economy Resident income ratio 76.4% 10.0% Baa Full value per capita 117,702 10.0% Aa Economic growth metric 0.6% 10.0% Aaa Financial Performance Available fund balance ratio 38.8% 20.0% Aaa Liquidity ratio 66.2% 10.0% Aaa Institutional Framework Institutional Framework Aaa 10.0% Aaa Leverage Long-term liabilities ratio 87.7% 20.0% Aaa Fixed-costs ratio 3.5% 10.0% Aaa Notching factors No notchings applied Scorecard-Indicated Outcome Aal Assigned Rating Aad ‘The Economic Growth metric cited above compares the five-year CAGR of real GDP for Chattanooga, TN-GA Metropolitan Statistical Area Metropolitan Statistical Area to the five-year CAGR of real GDP for the US. Sources: US Census Bureau, East Ridge (City of) TN's financial statements and Moody's Ratings 17 May 2024 Cityy of East to credit analysis, fe Ridge, TN: Update Ip U.S. Public Finance Moody's Ratings Appendix Exhibit 3 Key Indicators Glossary Definition Typical SourceTM Economy Resident income ratio Median Household Income (MHI) for the city or county, adjusted for MHI: US Census Bureau - American Regional Price Parity (RPP), as a % of the US MHI Community Survey 5-Year Estimates RPP: US Bureau of Economic Analysis Full value Estimated market value of taxable property in the city or county State repositories; audited financial statements; continuing disclosures Population Population of the city or county US Census Bureau - American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Full value per capita Full value 7 population Economic growth metric Five year CAGR of real GDP for Metropolitan Statistical Area or Real GDP: US Bureau of Economic Analysis county minus the five-year CAGR of real GDP for the US Financial performance Revenue Sum of revenue from total governmental funds, operating andnon- Audited financial statements operating revenue from total business-type activities, and non- operating revenue from internal services funds, excluding transfers and one-time revenue, e.g, bond proceeds or capital contributions Available fund balance Sum of all fund balances that are classified as unassigned, assigned or Audited financial statements committed in the total governmental funds, plus unrestricted current assets minus current liabilities from the city’s or county's business- type activities and internal services funds Net unrestricted cash ‘Sum of unrestricted cash in governmental activities, business type Audited financial statements activities and internal services fund, net of short-term debt Available fund balance ratio Available fund balance (including net current assets from business type activities and internal services funds) / Revenue Liquidity ratio Net unrestricted cash / Revenue Leverage Debt ‘Outstanding long-term bonds and all other forms of long-term deht Audited financial statements; official across the governmental and business-type activities, including debt statements of another entity for which it has provided a guararitee Jisclused in its financial statements Adjusted net pension liabilities (ANPL) Total primary government's pension liabilities adjusted by Moody's to Audited financial statements; Moody's standardize the discount rate used to compute the present value of _ Investors Service accrued benefits Adjusted net OPEB liabilities (ANOL) Total primary government's net other post-employment benefit Audited financial statements; Moody's (OPEB) liabilities adjusted by Moody's to standardize the discount Investors Service rate used to compute the present value of accrued benefits Other long-term liabilities (OLTL) Miscellaneous long-term liabilities reported under the governmental Audited financial statements and business-type activities entries Long-term liabilities ratio Debt + ANPL + ANOL + OLTL/ Revenue Fixed costs implied debt service ‘Annual cost to amortize city or county's long-term debt over 20 Audited financial statements; official years with level payments. statements; Moody's Investors Service Pension tread water contribution Pension contribution necessary to prevent reported unfunded Audited financial statements, Moody's pension liabilities from growing, year over year, in nominal dollars, if Investors Service all actuarial assumptions are met OPEB contribution City or county's actual contribution in a given period Audited financial statements Implied cost of OLTL ‘Annual cost to amortize city or county's other long-term liabilities Audited financial statements; Moody's over 20 years with level payments Investors Service Fixed-costs ratio Implied debt service + Pension tread water + OPEB contributions + Implied cost of OLTL/ Revenue Cities Note: If typical data source is not available then alternative sources or proxy data may be considered. For more detailed definitions of the metrics listed above please refer to the US Methodology . Source; Moody's Ratings City of East Ridge, TN: Upda analysis Moody's Ratings U.S. Public Finance © 2024 Moody s Corporation, Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moody's Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"), All rights reserved CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS AFFILIATES ARE THEIR CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND MATERIALS, PRODUCTS, SERVICES AND INFORMATION PUBLISHED OR OTHERWISE MADE AVAILABLE BY MOODY'S (COLLECTIVELY, “MATERIALS") MAY INCLUDE SUCH CURRENT OPINIONS. MOODY'S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT OR IMPAIRMENT. 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For the purposes of this disclaimer, "PRC refers to the mainland of the People's Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan REPORT NUMBER 1408352 6 17 May 2024 to credit analysis City of East Ridge, TN: Update Moody's Ratings U.S. Public Finance CLIENT SERVICES Americas 1-212-553-1653 Asia Pacific 852-3551-3077 Japan 81-3-5408-4100 EMEA 44-20-7772-5454 17 May 2024 City of East Ridge, TN: Update to credit analysis